{"id":14,"date":"2023-09-13T15:06:10","date_gmt":"2023-09-13T14:06:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/itruled.com\/?p=14"},"modified":"2023-10-06T15:53:26","modified_gmt":"2023-10-06T14:53:26","slug":"scientists-say-youre-looking-for-alien-civilizations-all-wrong","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/itruled.com\/index.php\/2023\/09\/13\/scientists-say-youre-looking-for-alien-civilizations-all-wrong\/","title":{"rendered":"Scientists Say You\u2019re Looking for Alien Civilizations All Wrong"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>AN INFLUENTIAL GROUP&nbsp;of researchers is making the case for new ways to search the skies for signs of alien societies. They argue that current methods could be biased by human-centered thinking, and that it\u2019s time to take advantage of data-driven, machine learning techniques.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The team of 22 scientists released a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/arxiv.org\/abs\/2308.15518\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">new report<\/a>&nbsp;on August 30, contending that the field needs to make better use of new and underutilized tools, namely gigantic catalogs from telescope surveys and computer algorithms that can mine those catalogs to spot astrophysical oddities that might have gone unnoticed. Maybe an anomaly will point to an object or phenomenon that is artificial\u2014that is, alien\u2014in origin. For example, chlorofluorocarbons and nitrogen oxide in a world\u2019s atmosphere could be signs of&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wired.com\/story\/can-alien-smog-lead-us-to-extraterrestrial-civilizations\/\">industrial pollution, like smog<\/a>. Or perhaps scientists could one day detect a sign of waste heat emitted by a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wired.com\/1998\/02\/dyson\/\">Dyson sphere<\/a>\u2014a hypothetical massive shell that an alien civilization might build around a star to harness its solar power.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe now have vast data sets from sky surveys at all wavelengths, covering the sky again and again and again,\u201d says George Djorgovski, a Caltech astronomer and one of the report\u2019s lead authors. \u201cWe\u2019ve never had so much information about the sky in the past, and we have tools to explore it. In particular, machine learning gives us opportunities to look for sources that may be inconspicuous but, in some way\u2014with different colors or behavior in time\u2014they stand out.\u201d For example, that could include objects that flicker or are surprisingly bright at some wavelength, or ones that move unusually fast or orbit in an unexplainable path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Of course, most of the time, data outliers turn out to have&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wired.com\/story\/a-strange-radio-signal-was-just-from-earth-not-aliens\/\">mundane explanations<\/a>, like an instrumental error. Sometimes they do reveal novelties, but of a more astrophysical nature, like a type of&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wired.com\/story\/space-photos-of-the-week-binary-star-r-aquarii\/\">variable star<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wired.com\/story\/unexpectedly-vanishing-quasars-are-mystifying-scientists\/?verso=true\">quasar<\/a>, or&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wired.com\/story\/the-secret-ingredient-that-powers-supernovas\/\">supernova explosion<\/a>&nbsp;no one has seen before. That\u2019s a crucial advantage of this approach, the scientists argue: No matter what happens, they always learn something. The report quotes astrophysicist Freeman Dyson: \u201cEvery search for alien civilizations should be planned to give interesting results even when no aliens are discovered.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The project grew out of a major 2019 workshop at Caltech\u2019s Keck Institute for Space Studies in Pasadena, California, and includes a team of astronomers and planetary scientists primarily at Caltech and NASA\u2019s Jet Propulsion Laboratory\u2014plus a handful of others, like&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newyorker.com\/science\/elements\/intelligent-ways-to-search-for-extraterrestrials\">Jason Wright<\/a>&nbsp;from Penn State\u2019s Center for Exoplanets and Habitable Worlds, and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wired.com\/2011\/02\/seti-dolphins\/\">Denise Herzing<\/a>, an expert on dolphin communication, who was included because of her expertise on nonhuman languages.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The hunt for alien technosignatures is related to, but differs from, astrobiology, which often refers to the broader search for habitable\u2014not necessarily&nbsp;<em>inhabited<\/em>\u2014planets. Astrobiologists look for signs of the elements necessary for life as we know it, such as liquid surface water and atmospheres with the chemical signatures of oxygen, carbon dioxide, methane, or ozone. Their search typically includes seeking evidence of very simple life forms, such as&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wired.com\/story\/will-we-recognize-life-on-mars-when-we-see-it\/\">bacteria, algae<\/a>, or&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wired.com\/story\/a-crashed-israeli-lunar-lander-spilled-tardigrades-on-the-moon\/\">tardigrades<\/a>. The James Webb Space Telescope has helped astronomers make headway there, by enabling spectroscopy of planetary atmospheres and illuminating promising worlds like&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/webbtelescope.org\/contents\/news-releases\/2023\/news-2023-139\" target=\"_blank\">K2-18 b<\/a>, which has methane and carbon dioxide, and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nasa.gov\/feature\/goddard\/2023\/webb-finds-water-vapor-but-from-a-rocky-planet-or-its-star\">GJ 486 b<\/a>, which appears to have water vapor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Technosignature searches also differ from searching for radio signals that could have been sent by sophisticated alien civilizations, either by accident or deliberately seeking contact. This search for extraterrestrial intelligence, also known as&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wired.com\/tag\/seti\/\">SETI<\/a>, typically involves using dedicated radio telescopes like the Allen Telescope Array and the Green Bank Observatory to scan parts of the sky at a range of frequencies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But Djorgovski and some of his colleagues are concerned that these kinds of searches are plagued by biases, like preconceived notions about what aliens might be like, what technologies they may have developed, how they\u2019d colonize planets, and the kinds of signals their civilizations emit. They point out that other beings might not have a carbon-and-water-based chemistry, and might use technologies we\u2019re not familiar with. \u201cIn the past, searches for extraterrestrial intelligence focused on radio. I\u2019m personally skeptical about this because it basically makes an assumption that an advanced civilization wants to send signals and would use the technology of mid-20th century planet Earth to do it, and in a way that we can understand,\u201d he says. As an example, he mentions how in the early 20th century, around when&nbsp;<em>War of the Worlds<\/em>&nbsp;and other fictional works fueled speculation about Martians, the inventors&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/anengineersaspect.blogspot.com\/2013\/03\/hello-earth-early-20th-century.html\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Nikola Tesla, Thomas Edison, and Guglielmo Marconi<\/a>&nbsp;all thought they detected signals from Mars\u2014but they turned out to be radio noise at low frequencies that can\u2019t penetrate Earth\u2019s atmosphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Others are more sanguine about radio SETI. Such research should be thought of as complementary with newer data-driven approaches, rather than as a competitor, says Sofia Sheikh, a coauthor on the report and an astronomer at the SETI Institute in Mountain View, California. \u201cI think there\u2019s still a very important place for that in the field because the sky is big. Any way that we can better our chances by guessing what might be more likely places to look, that\u2019s worthwhile,\u201d she says<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sheikh characterizes the report as a useful resource to help researchers work toward common goals, so they won\u2019t need to reinvent the wheel when figuring out how to dive into an unfamiliar data set or code their own anomaly-detection algorithms. Over the past decade, she and other astronomers have made use of catalogs with optical and infrared data from NASA\u2019s&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wired.com\/story\/nasas-new-exoplanet-satellite-has-a-better-shot-of-finding-life-close-to-home\/\">Kepler and TESS space telescopes<\/a>, the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wired.com\/story\/the-gaia-mission-keeps-unlocking-secrets-of-the-galaxy\/\">European Space Agency\u2019s Gaia<\/a>, and the National Science Foundation-funded&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wired.com\/story\/astronomers-want-to-save-dark-skies-from-satellite-swarms\/\">Zwicky Transient Facility<\/a>. They\u2019re also looking forward to the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wired.com\/story\/a-new-3200-megapixel-camera-has-astronomers-salivating\/\">Vera Rubin Observatory<\/a>, being built in northern Chile, which will amass data on some 10 billion Milky Way stars and millions of solar system objects.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Previous celestial surveys focused on trying to map the sky while including the faintest possible objects. But many of these more recent efforts are part of a move toward what\u2019s called a \u201ctime-domain survey,\u201d in which astronomers map the same patch of sky multiple times in order to see changes as a function of time. \u201cIf you come back again with your telescope, you\u2019ll see the sky is not stationary, it\u2019s not static. Things pulsate and wiggle and oscillate,\u201d says James Davenport, a University of Washington astronomer not involved in the report. That\u2019s why taking repeated measurements can yield critical data, he says. \u201cA lot of things change minute to minute, hour to hour, and year to year.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Davenport agrees with the report\u2019s authors that data-driven techniques, including data drawn from surveying the sky repeatedly, would be helpful when trying to locate a needle in a cosmic haystack\u2014another world colonized by intelligent beings. These techniques could include studying the light curves of distant objects to see if they behave differently than expected, or studying the orbital parameters of objects flying in our own solar system, since some may not have originated here. The machine-learning tools include \u201cunsupervised learning,\u201d where a computer algorithm analyzes parameters like the brightnesses of stars or quasars at particular wavelengths\u2014and can identify statistical outliers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s hard to know which anomalies will turn out to be interesting\u2014or even reveal a sign of alien technology. For example, in 2017, a cigar-shaped object dubbed Oumuamua, which looked like&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wired.com\/story\/oumuamua-was-neither-comet-nor-asteroid-so-what-was-it\/?mbid=social_fb\">either an asteroid or a comet<\/a>, hurtled through our solar system. Controversy erupted when&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wired.com\/story\/is-oumuamua-an-alien-spaceship-sure-except-no\/\">Harvard astrophysicist Avi Loeb<\/a>&nbsp;argued that its weirdly accelerating orbit could be explained by it being an alien spaceship.&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.science.org\/content\/article\/mystery-our-first-interstellar-visitor-may-be-solved\">New research<\/a>&nbsp;this March proved the interstellar interloper is a comet after all, albeit a strange one, lacking a tail and accelerating thanks to expelled hydrogen. Oumuamua was indeed an outlier that led to interesting science\u2014and data-driven research might turn up more objects like it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The new technosignature report doesn\u2019t so much signal a shift in the field, but rather shows how it\u2019s growing and including scientists with different perspectives and expertise, says Anamaria Berea, a computational social scientist at George Mason University who was not involved in the project. She says it\u2019s worth using new tools to explore data sets that were previously collected for other purposes, in the hopes of finding those interesting outliers. \u201cTen, twenty years ago, we didn\u2019t have this explosion of artificial intelligence and computation technologies,\u201d she says. \u201cNow they can be used also for archived data.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Technosignatures are popular topics of study, but they still add up to a small field that lacks steady funding. Berea hopes that ancillary science from data-driven approaches\u2014learning from anomalies that&nbsp;<em>aren\u2019t<\/em>&nbsp;actually aliens\u2014will boost the field and give it more legitimacy. In the meantime, the team behind the new paper will continue exploring one of humanity\u2019s most profound questions: whether or not we are alone in the universe<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>AN INFLUENTIAL GROUP&nbsp;of researchers is making the case for new ways to search the skies for signs of alien societies. They argue that current methods could be biased by human-centered thinking, and that it\u2019s time to take advantage of data-driven, machine learning techniques. The team of 22 scientists released a&nbsp;new report&nbsp;on August 30, contending that &#8230; <a title=\"Scientists Say You\u2019re Looking for Alien Civilizations All Wrong\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/itruled.com\/index.php\/2023\/09\/13\/scientists-say-youre-looking-for-alien-civilizations-all-wrong\/\" aria-label=\"More on Scientists Say You\u2019re Looking for Alien Civilizations All Wrong\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":46,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/itruled.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/itruled.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/itruled.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/itruled.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/itruled.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/itruled.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":47,"href":"https:\/\/itruled.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14\/revisions\/47"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/itruled.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/46"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/itruled.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/itruled.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/itruled.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}